Showing posts with label FDI. Show all posts
Showing posts with label FDI. Show all posts

Economic Times - Black Money Figures Much Inflated: Govt

Published on 22nd May 2012

The government has suggested in its first-ever official document on black money that a lot of the illicit cash stashed away overseas over the years may have come back into the country as investments, seeking to debunk the commonly-held notion that hundreds of billions of dollars of Indian money was held illegally in Swiss banks. The document listed participatory notes (PNs), foreign direct investment (FDI) flows routed through low-tax countries and complex corporate structures as possible contributors to the scourge, but steered clear of naming offenders or putting an estimate on black money, provoking critics to slam it as more of a whitewash than a white paper. The White Paper on Black Money significantly singled out the Vodafone tax case as an example of misuse of corporate structure to avoid paying taxes, further proof of the intensity of the finance ministry’s feelings on its tax dispute with the UK firm and suggesting a compromise was unlikely.

Presented by Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee in Parliament, the document said illicit money parked outside India may have been brought back as FDI through Mauritius and Singapore and via stock market transactions involving participatory notes and global depository receipts, indicating a tighter scrutiny of these inflows in the future. The release of the white paper, a day before the third anniversary of the UPA government, comes when the ruling coalition has been mostly on the defensive in its second term in office, buffeted by a series of scandals, popular anti-corruption agitations and scathing court judgments. Not helping the government is the commonly-held notion that hundreds of billions of dollars have been spirited out of the country and stashed away overseas. US based Global Financial Integrity, a non-profit research body that has long crusaded against illegal capital flight, said in 2010 that India had been drained of $462 billion between 1948 and 2008.

But the white paper said some of these numbers were over the top and baseless.

"Some of the widely-circulated figures about black money of Indians stashed abroad are baseless exaggerations," it said. Scathing Criticism of Report.

There is strong likelihood that substantial amount of such money transferred abroad illicitly might have returned to India through illicit means," the white paper said. It cited the case of a widely circulated 2006 report attributed to an entity called the Swiss Banking Association, which said Indians had $1,456 billion stashed away overseas. The white paper said actual checks showed no such organisation existed and the money held by Indians in Swiss banks was less than Rs 10,000 crore ($2 billion).

All this did little to silence the government’s critics, who were especially scathing about its failure to give out an estimate of black money and disclose the names of tax offenders with large fund stashed overseas.

"This white paper is in reality a non- paper. It is rather like a bikini as it conceals all the essentials and reveals only the non- essentials," said senior BJP leader Jaswant Singh. "The shortcomings include no reliable quantification of illegal money." The government has tasked three domestic research institutions with arriving at estimates of black money. Their reports are expected later this year.

"I would have been happy if I could have included the conclusions of reports of three premier institutions that have been tasked to quantify the magnitude of black money," Mukherjee wrote in the foreword to the 108-page white paper.

The government had agreed to bring out the white paper during the debate over black money and corruption forced by Anna Hazare’s anti-graft campaign.

The government said it was bound by tax treaties not to disclose the names of tax offenders with funds overseas. But this failed to cut ice with another of its bitter critics, yoga guru Baba Ramdev, who called the explanation hogwash. "Lack of political will and the government's lopsided intention is clearly getting reflected in its policies when it says it has no jurisdiction on foreign laws," he said.
Anna Hazare’s associate, activist lawyer Prashant Bhushan, said the white paper showed the government had not handled the issue seriously. "If the government was serious about curbing illicit money, they should have taken steps to absolutely stop non- transparent financial instruments like participatory notes. Also, the treaty with Mauritius that legalizes black money should have been changed," he said. Official data shows Mauritius accounted for 41.8% of total FDI inflows of $54,227 million into India between April 2000 and March 2011.

During the same period, Singapore accounted for $ 11,895 million, or 9.17%, of the total inflows. "Mauritius and Singapore with their small economies cannot be the sources of such huge investments," the white paper noted. "The ultimate beneficiaries/investors through the PN route can be Indians and the source of their investment may be black money generated by them," it added, raising credibility over two of the biggest sources of capital flows into India.

Experts said the problem was likely to be in foreign direct investment through the automatic route, but cautioned that future regulations to plug loopholes should be done in a manner so as not to hurt investor sentiment at a time markets are wobbly and the currency is under pressure. The government’s budget proposals for 2012-13, especially the General Anti-Avoidance Rules (GAAR), spooked the markets, forcing it to delay their implementation by a year.

"The problem largely lies in instances of FDI through the automatic route and the current reporting mechanisms may be modified to address this. But it should not create hurdles for genuine investors," said Akash Gupt, executive director at Price water house Coopers.

The white paper was mostly silent on the links between black money and political funding, which some experts have long cited as the source of corruption and generation of illicit funds. It said the government could consider a one-time amnesty or a gold scheme as viable means to catalyze voluntary disclosure and tax recovery. Citing successful implementation of such schemes by countries such as the US, UK, France and Germany, the paper said the government could explore partial benefit schemes that provide immunity from prosecution in lieu of voluntary disclosure along with payment of taxes, interest and penalty.

"In view of the increasing capacity of tax administration to access information from foreign jurisdiction… a similar scheme (amnesty) targeted at black money stashed abroad can be a one time option," the paper noted.

Economic Times - Why investors are wary of India


Even as the world watches Greece, the UPA-II has managed to script its own Greek tragedy at home.

In its three years at the helm, the government and its other arms have alienated companies and investors in sector after sector with its decisions - or, equally, its indecision.

TAX RULES
Vodafone, Similar Deals
Retrospective change in rules to tax deals between two foreign entities for an Indian asset. Rs 20,400 cr is the claim on Vodafone and could set a precedent.

Anti-Avoidance Rules

Software Products
Budget proposes to treat 'income' from sale of packaged software as 'royalty', with effect from 1976. MNCs such as Adobe, Microsoft, Oracle and SAP, which pay tax elsewhere, would pay 10-20% in India.

OIL & GAS
Deal Delay
Vedanta waits 17 months for government nod to buy Cairn and also accepts a heavy royalty burden.

RIL Penalty
The govt tells RIL it can't claim $1.23 billion of its development cost in the K-G basin as it has not met output commitments.

Reforms
Oil subsidies remain misdirected and a strain on the country's finances.

TELECOM
Licence Cancellation
SC cancels 122 mobile permits issued by former telecom minister A Raja. Norway's Telenor, Russia's Sistema, UAE's Etisalat and Bahrain's Batelco write off $3 billion. Etisalat & Batelco exit, Telenor & Sistema threaten to exit India.TRAI proposals on spectrum auction have irked old and new players alike.

POWER
Coal Crunch
Even as power plants gasp for coal, PSU monopoly Coal India is acting like one - its production is stagnant at 431-435 million tonnes in the last 3 years.

PHARMA
Buyouts M&As delayed as government stops automatic approval for acquisitions by foreign companies and new rules yet to be finalised.

Patents
India's first 'compulsory licence', for Bayer's cancer drug Nexavar, overrules a patent-holder's rights in lifesaving drugs.

BANKING & FINANCIAL
FDI in insurance - Not raised from 26% in spite of being talked about for a decade.

New Banks
Promised by UPA-I in 2004, none issued as yet.
Although GAAR, which aims to check tax evasion by foreign investors, has been deferred by a year uncertainty remains.

Published on 22nd May 2012

Hindu Business Line : The big picture on FDI in retail

By : Nilanjan Banik on 11th December 2011 -
The author is Associate Professor, IFMR

India's FDI inflows have improved since 2005, perhaps at China's expense. In this context, the expected FDI inflows from retail are not significant. However, retail FDI can lead to FDI flows in other sectors and improve our BoP situation.

Foreign direct investment (FDI) in the retail sector has been at the epicentre of national debate. Much has been said on India possibly losing out on investment by sending a wrong policy signal. But do we really need to get so worked up?

INDIA AS FDI DESTINATION

Considering the anticipated level of inflows on account of FDI in retail, there may not be much reason to worry. During 2000, India attracted significantly lower FDI ($3.5 billion) than many other South-East Asian countries, such as South Korea ($10. 5 billion), Thailand ($6 billion) and Malaysia ($5 billion).

However, an interesting pattern has started to emerge since 2005. FDI inflow into India increased by leaps and bounds, from $7.6 billion in 2005, to $35 billion in 2009. FDI flow in the whole of East Asia and the Pacific remained more or less constant during this period — $104 billion in 2005 and $102 billion in 2009.

For China, the figure is $79 billion in 2005, and around $78 billion in 2009. In 2000, India's share among middle-income countries, in terms of attracting FDI, was only 2.4 per cent, compared with China's 26 per cent. In 2009, China's share fell to 22 per cent, whereas India's share increased to 10 per cent (Global Development Finance: Country and Summary Data 2011). India's gain has been at the cost of China losing out in terms of being a favourable FDI destination.

CHINA'S PROBLEMS

India has outdone China due to the high inflation rate in the latter country. Wages of migrant workers, land, property rents and power prices, have all registered an increase in China.

Measured as a year-on-year basis as of November 2010, labour costs went up by 21 per cent, and the home prices across 70 cities in China went up by 7.7 per cent. Property prices have also been on the rise, despite the government having ownership rights over land — indicating a real-estate bubble.

What is evident from data is also being witnessed in reality. Multinationals such as Ford and Hyundai are shifting their manufacturing base from China to India. During the early part of last fiscal, India exported 2,30,000 cars, vans, sports utility vehicles, and trucks — a growth of 18 per cent, whereas Chinese exports have tumbled 60 per cent to 1,65,000 units. Perhaps due to these reasons, Nokia and Lotte, are setting up their manufacturing base in India.

It is no surprise, therefore, that India has attracted, on an average, an annual FDI inflow of $20.4 billion per annum between 2006 and 2009.

The estimated inflow from FDI in retail, of $3 billion over the next five years, seems modest in comparison. To get a sense of proportion, the Reserve Bank of India generally uses this sum of money daily in the foreign exchange market.

Even so, there are reasons to be concerned if FDI in retail were to be stalled in the long run. So, what are the problem areas?

SUPPLY LOGISTICS

FDI in retail will bring down inflation by investing in supply chain logistics, that is, by investing in transport and refrigerated storage necessary for perishable items. Typically, if a farmer were to sell his produce, he needs to bring it to the local market where he usually auctions it to the retailer, who, in turn, will sell to the final consumers.

This process of auctioning in the mandi (central market) is facilitated by the middleman, who charges a commission from the farmers. Add to this the cost of bringing the agricultural produce to the local market; the price difference between what the farmers get and what the consumers pay is what society loses out due to inefficiency.

By investing in supply chain logistics, the players in multi- brand retail will reduce the cost, and bring down inflation. They will procure the produce directly from the farmers, keep it in their storage, and transport it directly to their retail outlet. It is worthy to note that there is a huge investment involved to get the supply chain logistics in place — something that FDI in retail promises.

Those who have been arguing that the local kirana and the marginal farmers may be hurt — the former losing out on business, and the latter not getting the right price – are not right. Currently, the local kirana, and retail outlets such as Reliance Fresh, Tata-Tesco, and Spencer, to name a few, are co- existing comfortably with each other.

Marginal farmers also stand to gain. Recent evidence suggests that marginal farmers who have entered into contracts with Pepsi India have on average realised double the price in comparison with the local mandi and the local mahajan (in absence of the local mandi). This is an eye-opener for those suggesting that multinationals will squeeze the farmers by not offering them the right price.

Experience from around the globe suggests that the local kirana needs to worry from the spread of e-commerce, and not the presence of corporates in the retail sector. India badly needs corporatisation of the agriculture sector to even out distribution of income. The ITC and Pepsi examples have shown that, in their best interest, corporates directly get in touch with the farmers, and give them the necessary information on how to increase crop output and productivity.

It is to be noted that the agriculture sector receives minuscule investment, while supporting the livelihoods of around 55 per cent of the population.

RIGHT POLICY SIGNAL

The UPA government also stands to gain substantially by sending the right policy signal. Moreover, FDI in retail can bring in forms of FDI, at a time when our trade figures aren't doing really well. The trade deficit for April-October, 2011-12, was estimated at $94 billion, which was higher than the deficit of around $85 billion during April-October, 2010-11.

India's credit-worthiness can improve, with more FDI inflow resulting from reforms. International rating agencies usually look at total foreign exchange reserves and the FDI inflow as a criteria for rating any country.

Tailpiece: Mamata Banerjee is smart, and is playing her cards right. She has already got Rs 8,750 crore, out of her demand for Rs 19,000 crore as part of the Bengal package.

Who knows, she might actually give in if the UPA government meets her demand.

DNA : FDI in retail will cause unemployment: Retailers

Published on 15th May 2012

Traditional retailers are strongly against foreign direct investment (FDI) in retail and are against any move to opening the sector to foreign capital. In fact, the Confederation of All India Traders (CAIT), an umbrella organisation of 5000 retail associations across the country, has brought out a book on FDI in multi- brand retail.

Interestingly, the book suggests measures for a strong retail sector which are similar to the suggestions made in a working paper on the subject authored by two IIMA members of faculty. DNA had recently published a report on the working paper's conclusions and recommendations.

The Central government has argued that influx of foreign capital in retail will generate employment and trigger huge investments in back-end infrastructure of retail chains in the agriculture and food segment.

But traditional retailers are against the move as it may harm the interests of farmers, and small and medium enterprises. The book brought out by CAIT also argues against allowing FDI in retail.
CAIT has said that the Centre should instead improve infrastructure for trading and take steps for removal of intermediaries in agriculture retail. It has also suggested that the government should focus on skill development in the work force for better employability before allowing FDI in multi- brand retail.

"Our book gives some realistic arguments against the government's assumptions and claims in terms of creation of jobs, investment in back-end infrastructure, etc," said Praveen Khandelval, general secretary of CAIT.

On the claim that 4 million jobs will be created in the first three years if FDI in retail is allowed, the CAIT book says that it is unrealistic.

"If 4 million jobs are to be created, even Wal- Mart, which has the largest average employee per store, will need to open over 18,600 supermarkets in India. This means 644 retail stores in 53 cities," the book states.

It further says that the global experience in organized retail has shown that instead of creating employment, mega- retail corporations actually reduce employment. This is so because they promote technology and automation which cuts the need for manpower. The claim that FDI in retail will also benefit farmers is eyewash, claims the book. Supermarkets actually push up prices and pass on payment risks to farmers and growers.

"Milk producers in the US got only 38% share of the consumers' dollar that was spent on milk. In the UK, milk producers got only 36%. However, in India, the milk producer gets more than 70% of the consumers' rupee on an average," the book says.

The government thinks consumers will be the second major beneficiary after farmers as competition among the retail chains will bring down prices.

"Research findings have established that retail and brand companies have positioned themselves as powerful gatekeepers between the consumers and the producers. Organized mega- retails encourage mass consumerism. As a result, the consumer tends to spend more than his current requirement," the book says.

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